TCU
W-L: (32-21) PR = 95.9274Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 5- 4 214 H Arkansas SEC (38-25, 97.5) 5- 4 215 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 2-12 217 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 8-14 220 H Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 2- 1 221 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 1- 5 222 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 5-15 223 A Loyola Marymount WC (14-39, 91.0) 17- 7 227 H New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 14- 3 228 H New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 12- 4 301 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 20- 4 303 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 99.3) 7- 6 306 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 10- 8 308 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 4- 3 308 H Tulane AME (25-31, 94.4) 4- 8 313 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 5- 4 314 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 8-15 315 A Arizona State B12 (38-21, 97.6) 0- 4 317 A Sacred Heart MAAC ( 2- 6, 87.3) 16- 4 320 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 7-18 321 A Hawai'i BW (21-26, 93.7) 6- 3 322 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 1- 9 324 A Dallas Baptist 11- 5 327 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 18- 8 328 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 10- 9 329 H Texas Tech B12 (31-24, 95.8) 5- 4 331 H Lamar SL (11-13, 93.3) 8- 6 403 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 12-13 404 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 9- 3 405 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 4- 0 407 A Abilene Christian WAC ( 9-12, 93.6) 1- 4 410 A Oklahoma SEC (40-25, 97.1) 3-13 411 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 5- 0 411 H Arizona B12 (17-36, 93.8) 2- 3 414 H Tarleton State WAC ( 7-10, 94.8) 12- 5 417 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 4-11 419 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 5- 4 419 A Baylor B12 (26-27, 94.7) 10- 2 421 H Dallas Baptist 6- 5 424 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 8- 3 425 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 4- 2 426 H Houston B12 (23-28, 94.6) 14- 2 429 A McNeese SL ( 8- 9, 93.3) 12- 2 501 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 6- 7 502 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 2- 9 503 A Oklahoma State B12 (39-22, 97.2) 10-11 508 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 3- 0 509 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 3- 1 510 H Utah B12 (25-26, 94.8) 4- 3 514 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 0- 4 515 H South Florida AME (30-22, 94.6) 4- 7 516 A West Virginia B12 (47-18, 98.1) 4- 6 520 H Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 4- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Vanderbilt 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.87
214 H Arkansas 5- 4 1 -1 1.91
215 A Oklahoma 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.19
217 H Baylor 8-14 -6 2 --- -7.88
220 H Baylor 2- 1 1 2 -0.88
221 A UCLA 1- 5 -4 -3 -0.83
222 A UCLA 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.83
223 A Loyola Marymount 17- 7 10 4 ++ 5.71
227 H New Haven 14- 3 11 10 1.25
228 H New Haven 12- 4 8 10 -1.75
301 A Vanderbilt 20- 4 16 -2 +++ 15.87
303 A Mississippi State 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.09
306 A Boston College 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.61
308 H Tulane 4- 3 1 2 -1.20
308 H Tulane 4- 8 -4 2 --- -6.20
313 A Arizona State 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.39
314 A Arizona State 8-15 -7 -2 -- -4.61
315 A Arizona State 0- 4 -4 -2 -1.61
317 A Sacred Heart 16- 4 12 8 ++ 4.04
320 H UCF 7-18 -11 1 --- -11.61
321 A Hawai'i 6- 3 3 2 1.40
322 H UCF 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.61
327 H Texas Tech 18- 8 10 1 +++ 9.19
328 H Texas Tech 10- 9 1 1 0.19
329 H Texas Tech 5- 4 1 1 0.19
331 H Lamar 8- 6 2 3 -1.34
403 A Kansas State 12-13 -1 -1 0.36
404 A Kansas State 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 7.36
405 A Kansas State 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 5.36
407 A Abilene Christian 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.62
410 A Oklahoma 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.19
411 H Arizona 5- 0 5 3 + 2.22
411 H Arizona 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.78
414 H Tarleton State 12- 5 7 2 ++ 5.23
417 A Baylor 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.53
419 A Baylor 5- 4 1 1 0.47
419 A Baylor 10- 2 8 1 +++ 7.47
424 H Houston 8- 3 5 2 + 2.99
425 H Houston 4- 2 2 2 -0.01
426 H Houston 14- 2 12 2 +++ 9.99
429 A McNeese 12- 2 10 2 +++ 8.04
501 A Oklahoma State 6- 7 -1 -2 0.99
502 A Oklahoma State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.01
503 A Oklahoma State 10-11 -1 -2 0.99
508 H Utah 3- 0 3 2 1.20
509 H Utah 3- 1 2 2 0.20
510 H Utah 4- 3 1 2 -0.80
514 H South Florida 0- 4 -4 2 --- -6.02
515 H South Florida 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.02
516 A West Virginia 4- 6 -2 -3 0.90
520 H Kansas State 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.99
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 215 A Oklahoma 2-12 -10 -2 --- -8.19 217 H Baylor 8-14 -6 2 --- -7.88 222 A UCLA 5-15 -10 -3 --- -6.83 308 H Tulane 4- 8 -4 2 --- -6.20 320 H UCF 7-18 -11 1 --- -11.61 322 H UCF 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.61 410 A Oklahoma 3-13 -10 -2 --- -8.19 417 A Baylor 4-11 -7 1 --- -7.53 514 H South Florida 0- 4 -4 2 --- -6.02 314 A Arizona State 8-15 -7 -2 -- -4.61 407 A Abilene Christian 1- 4 -3 2 -- -4.62 502 A Oklahoma State 2- 9 -7 -2 -- -5.01 515 H South Florida 4- 7 -3 2 -- -5.02 520 H Kansas State 4- 9 -5 0 -- -4.99 411 H Arizona 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.78 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 A Vanderbilt 20- 4 16 -2 +++ 15.87 327 H Texas Tech 18- 8 10 1 +++ 9.19 404 A Kansas State 9- 3 6 -1 +++ 7.36 419 A Baylor 10- 2 8 1 +++ 7.47 426 H Houston 14- 2 12 2 +++ 9.99 429 A McNeese 12- 2 10 2 +++ 8.04 223 A Loyola Marymount 17- 7 10 4 ++ 5.71 303 A Mississippi State 7- 6 1 -4 ++ 5.09 317 A Sacred Heart 16- 4 12 8 ++ 4.04 405 A Kansas State 4- 0 4 -1 ++ 5.36 414 H Tarleton State 12- 5 7 2 ++ 5.23 213 A Vanderbilt 5- 4 1 -2 + 2.87 306 A Boston College 10- 8 2 -1 + 2.61 313 A Arizona State 5- 4 1 -2 + 3.39 411 H Arizona 5- 0 5 3 + 2.22 424 H Houston 8- 3 5 2 + 2.99 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 5- 4 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.57 18.52
3 H Arkansas (38-25, 97.5) 5- 4 -2.38 16.04 -0.68 0.57 17.43
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 2-12 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.57 -0.61
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 8-14 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.57 -1.66
3 H Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 2- 1 -5.18 13.25 -0.68 0.57 14.26
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 1- 5 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.57 -0.23
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 5-15 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.57 -0.23
3 A Loyola Marymou (14-39, 91.0) 17- 7 -8.93 9.49 0.68 0.57 11.53
3 H New Haven ( 0- 9, 86.9) 14- 3 -13.05 5.38 -0.68 0.57 5.33
3 H New Haven ( 0- 9, 86.9) 12- 4 -13.05 5.38 -0.68 0.57 5.33
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 20- 4 -2.78 15.65 0.68 0.57 18.52
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 99.3) 7- 6 -0.56 17.86 0.68 0.57 21.03
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 10- 8 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.57 17.08
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 4- 3 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.57 13.90
3 H Tulane (25-31, 94.4) 4- 8 -5.49 12.93 -0.68 0.57 -1.75
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 5- 4 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.57 19.10
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 8-15 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.57 -0.45
3 A Arizona State (38-21, 97.6) 0- 4 -2.26 16.17 0.68 0.57 -0.45
3 A Sacred Heart ( 2- 6, 87.3) 16- 4 -12.61 5.82 0.68 0.57 7.36
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 7-18 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.57 -1.30
3 A Hawai'i (21-26, 93.7) 6- 3 -6.25 12.18 0.68 0.57 14.58
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 1- 9 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.57 -1.30
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 18- 8 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.57 15.47
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 10- 9 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.57 15.47
3 H Texas Tech (31-24, 95.8) 5- 4 -4.11 14.32 -0.68 0.57 15.47
3 H Lamar (11-13, 93.3) 8- 6 -6.64 11.79 -0.68 0.57 12.61
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 12-13 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.57 -0.74
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 9- 3 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.57 17.94
3 A Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 4- 0 -3.28 15.14 0.68 0.57 17.94
3 A Abilene Christ ( 9-12, 93.6) 1- 4 -6.27 12.15 0.68 0.57 -1.59
3 A Oklahoma (40-25, 97.1) 3-13 -2.84 15.59 0.68 0.57 -0.61
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 5- 0 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.57 13.24
3 H Arizona (17-36, 93.8) 2- 3 -6.08 12.35 -0.68 0.57 -1.91
3 H Tarleton State ( 7-10, 94.8) 12- 5 -5.07 13.35 -0.68 0.57 14.38
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 4-11 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.57 -1.28
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 5- 4 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.57 15.79
3 A Baylor (26-27, 94.7) 10- 2 -5.18 13.25 0.68 0.57 15.79
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 8- 3 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.57 14.12
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 4- 2 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.57 14.12
3 H Houston (23-28, 94.6) 14- 2 -5.30 13.12 -0.68 0.57 14.12
3 A McNeese ( 8- 9, 93.3) 12- 2 -6.61 11.82 0.68 0.57 14.17
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 6- 7 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.57 -0.56
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 2- 9 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.57 -0.56
3 A Oklahoma State (39-22, 97.2) 10-11 -2.66 15.77 0.68 0.57 -0.56
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 3- 0 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.57 14.36
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 3- 1 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.57 14.36
3 H Utah (25-26, 94.8) 4- 3 -5.09 13.33 -0.68 0.57 14.36
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 0- 4 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.57 -1.70
3 H South Florida (30-22, 94.6) 4- 7 -5.32 13.11 -0.68 0.57 -1.70
3 A West Virginia (47-18, 98.1) 4- 6 -1.75 16.68 0.68 0.57 -0.30
3 H Kansas State (30-27, 96.6) 4- 9 -3.28 15.14 -0.68 0.57 -1.12
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417.06
|
winning pts = 437.6743 losing points = -20.6193
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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